Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.009286 0.011077 0.013268 0.016194 0.020079 0.025184 0.032612
2025-03-16 0.007128 0.009237 0.012148 0.016636 0.023740 0.035291 0.057417
2025-03-23 0.005887 0.008030 0.011223 0.016647 0.026410 0.045247 0.091653
2025-03-30 0.004937 0.006966 0.010151 0.015945 0.027414 0.052803 0.131298
2025-04-06 0.004316 0.006261 0.009450 0.015603 0.028875 0.062391 0.194782
2025-04-13 0.003952 0.005891 0.009210 0.016011 0.032089 0.079288 0.336316
2025-04-20 0.003740 0.005730 0.009291 0.017067 0.037414 0.108965 0.729734
2025-04-27 0.003514 0.005508 0.009208 0.017743 0.042206 0.144866 1.744980
2025-05-04 0.003253 0.005184 0.008867 0.017722 0.045003 0.178172 4.242996
2025-05-11 0.003029 0.004898 0.008552 0.017679 0.047786 0.219244 14.345309
2025-05-18 0.002799 0.004577 0.008115 0.017211 0.048857 0.253770 66.164516
2025-05-25 0.002564 0.004221 0.007559 0.016298 0.047787 0.270634 418.841406
2025-06-01 0.002373 0.003952 0.007196 0.015968 0.049586 0.330692 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002252 0.003811 0.007102 0.016409 0.055423 0.482087 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002118 0.003629 0.006885 0.016421 0.059429 0.661654 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001960 0.003381 0.006478 0.015731 0.059267 0.772633 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001839 0.003198 0.006202 0.015395 0.061005 0.987090 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001768 0.003112 0.006149 0.015796 0.067902 1.637991 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001732 0.003096 0.006263 0.016833 0.080965 3.926891 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001680 0.003041 0.006271 0.017496 0.092839 10.444344 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001606 0.002929 0.006115 0.017475 0.099083 24.567351 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001536 0.002823 0.005962 0.017433 0.105453 80.210685 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001459 0.002692 0.005725 0.016974 0.106942 238.916299 NaN